Netflix/Streaming Services
31-07-2020, 16:17
|
#7846
|
Trollsplatter
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North of Watford
Services: Humane elimination of all common Internet pests
Posts: 36,978
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
It makes little difference, Chris. I can't see Pluto getting much of an audience. Don't be surprised if they ditch the live TV bit, although I do acknowledge that with their system, as with the BBC i-Player, you can at least watch these 'live' programmes from the start.
|
And yet they launched a whole pile of scheduled channels anyway. And they’re not the only ones launching new channels according to a linear schedule. It’s almost as if those who actually do TV for a living have a different view of the future than you do.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 16:58
|
#7847
|
cf.mega poster
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 12,313
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
And yet they launched a whole pile of scheduled channels anyway. And they’re not the only ones launching new channels according to a linear schedule. It’s almost as if those who actually do TV for a living have a different view of the future than you do.
|
Sky better get on the phone to OB as I bet they haven't realised the terrible mistake it made launching it's recent new linear channels.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 17:01
|
#7848
|
Still alive and fighting
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: In the land of beyond and beyond.
Services: XL BB, 3 360 boxes , XL TV.
Posts: 56,321
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
And very good are those new Sky linear channels in my humble opinion...
__________________
“The only lesson you can learn from history is that it repeats itself”
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 17:11
|
#7849
|
cf.addict
Join Date: Jan 2020
Posts: 174
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
It makes little difference, Chris. I can't see Pluto getting much of an audience. Don't be surprised if they ditch the live TV bit, although I do acknowledge that with their system, as with the BBC i-Player, you can at least watch these 'live' programmes from the start.
|
Well ViacomCBS reported Pluto TV had around 22 million active users some months back so it’s doing something right... and they wouldn’t be adding more and more linear channels if viewers were not engaging with them.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 17:28
|
#7850
|
Rise above the players
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wokingham
Services: 2 V6 boxes with 360 software, Now, ITVX, Amazon, Netflix, Lionsgate+, Apple+, Disney+, Paramount +,
Posts: 14,616
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by muppetman11
Sky better get on the phone to OB as I bet they haven't realised the terrible mistake it made launching it's recent new linear channels.
|
How long is it until 2035, MM, remind me...?!
---------- Post added at 17:28 ---------- Previous post was at 17:22 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
And yet they launched a whole pile of scheduled channels anyway. And they’re not the only ones launching new channels according to a linear schedule. It’s almost as if those who actually do TV for a living have a different view of the future than you do.
|
Yes, and this is 2020. I don't get it with you guys. There is a clear trend developing here and you refuse absolutely to consider where this will lead.
Well, you've made your mind up, so I guess there's nothing I can do about that. You will see in time that Pluto will conclude that it is safe to rely solely on the on demand aspect of their service, although it really doesn't bother me either way. It's still IPTV. And it's still of minority interest. No-one I speak to, and I have a wide circle, have ever heard of Pluto anyway.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 18:32
|
#7851
|
laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,145
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
All I ever meant to put across was that watching linear channels the way we do now will cease to be. The terrestrial transmitters will not be used and all viewing in the future will be IPTV and - let's say - the vast majority will be streaming or watching by VOD.
I confess that I did not foresee Pluto's way of presenting linear TV, and that may still keep going for the foreseeable future, but I have to say that the BBC i-Player does much the same thing - select a channel and you can opt to watch live or from the beginning, as well as select from the VOD library. Having said that, I think few will use the live version of Pluto by then; most will have already opted to watch their fayre via the on demand section of the site.
The main thrust is this. In my view, BBC1, 2 and the rest, ITV, ITV2 and the rest... and so on, will no longer exist in that form. Instead, the BBC will have one streamer for all their channels, as will ITV, Channel 4, Channel 5 and Sky. The terrestrials may all come together under one umbrella, such as Britbox. All Sky material will be in one place as well, and presented in 'on demand' or 'streaming' forms via IPTV. I think Peacock, rather than Now TV will be used for this purpose, but Sky could choose to keep Now TV going as their cheap and cheerful service.
Linear TV in future will be streamed TV, and of course, the technical issues including latency will be overcome by then.
I do hear what people say about flopping into their armchairs and just watching what's on, but I'm sure that the various streaming services will find ways to address that - for example with lots of previews playing on full screen or in PIP while you gather your thoughts or search, or perhaps a programme could be automatically selected randomly from the library.
I hope that gives a sense of what I think will happen.
---------- Post added at 14:14 ---------- Previous post was at 14:09 ----------
Maybe not cable, but why would Sky continue to pay out for satellites when they have IPTV? Of course satellites will exist for the time being, but once broadband is rolled out at appropriate speeds all over the country, prepare for major change.
|
Something magic will happen...
__________________
There is always light.
If only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
If my post is in bold and this colour, it's a Moderator Request.
Last edited by Hugh; 31-07-2020 at 18:38.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 20:09
|
#7852
|
Rise above the players
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wokingham
Services: 2 V6 boxes with 360 software, Now, ITVX, Amazon, Netflix, Lionsgate+, Apple+, Disney+, Paramount +,
Posts: 14,616
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
Something magic will happen...
|
Like a realisation that IPTV will reduce costs?
I'm sure they have worked that out for themselves, to be frank.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 21:23
|
#7853
|
laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,145
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Like a realisation that IPTV will reduce costs?
I'm sure they have worked that out for themselves, to be frank.
|
like defying the laws of physics to reduce latency to what you forecast, unless there is a huge investment in infrastructure and technology advances...
__________________
There is always light.
If only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
If my post is in bold and this colour, it's a Moderator Request.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 21:55
|
#7854
|
Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,430
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
How long is it until 2035, MM, remind me...?!
Yes, and this is 2020. I don't get it with you guys. There is a clear trend developing here and you refuse absolutely to consider where this will lead.
Well, you've made your mind up, so I guess there's nothing I can do about that. You will see in time that Pluto will conclude that it is safe to rely solely on the on demand aspect of their service, although it really doesn't bother me either way. It's still IPTV. And it's still of minority interest. No-one I speak to, and I have a wide circle, have ever heard of Pluto anyway.
|
There is indeed a clear trend that nobody has disputed. The point, that you never adequately address, is how that trend reaches zero?
You’ve conceded that you think what you consider “low value” linear content will now exist. My point has always been that major content providers will maintain a linear presence and if linear television does exist why would they not want to be there? A 24 hour advert for their streaming service using content they already own?
For context broadband penetration went from 94% to 95% between 2014 and 2019. Trends fo 100 (or 0) are extremely hard to achieve by market forces.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 23:54
|
#7855
|
Rise above the players
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wokingham
Services: 2 V6 boxes with 360 software, Now, ITVX, Amazon, Netflix, Lionsgate+, Apple+, Disney+, Paramount +,
Posts: 14,616
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phunkenstein
Well ViacomCBS reported Pluto TV had around 22 million active users some months back so it’s doing something right... and they wouldn’t be adding more and more linear channels if viewers were not engaging with them.
|
Worldwide, of course.
---------- Post added at 23:53 ---------- Previous post was at 23:47 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman
There is indeed a clear trend that nobody has disputed. The point, that you never adequately address, is how that trend reaches zero?
You’ve conceded that you think what you consider “low value” linear content will now exist. My point has always been that major content providers will maintain a linear presence and if linear television does exist why would they not want to be there? A 24 hour advert for their streaming service using content they already own?
For context broadband penetration went from 94% to 95% between 2014 and 2019. Trends fo 100 (or 0) are extremely hard to achieve by market forces.
|
Agreed, but when audience levels get to neglible proportions (won't even get that far!),why would any commercial operation be arsed to provide a service to a small minority of viewers who are probably not raking in any significant interest advertising wise?
You are describing some sort of romantic vision that is never going to come to pass. Think economics. It should be easy for you. One would have thought.
---------- Post added at 23:54 ---------- Previous post was at 23:53 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
like defying the laws of physics to reduce latency to what you forecast, unless there is a huge investment in infrastructure and technology advances...
|
Yes, Hugh, but some of us seek solutions to problems. The BBC is working on it.
|
|
|
31-07-2020, 23:58
|
#7856
|
Trollsplatter
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North of Watford
Services: Humane elimination of all common Internet pests
Posts: 36,978
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Worldwide, of course.
---------- Post added at 23:53 ---------- Previous post was at 23:47 ----------
Agreed, but when audience levels get to neglible proportions (won't even get that far!),why would any commercial operation be arsed to provide a service to a small minority of viewers who are probably not raking in any significant interest advertising wise?
You are describing some sort of romantic vision that is never going to come to pass. Think economics. It should be easy for you. One would have thought.
|
Like all good armchair experts, you pose questions and insert caveats (‘probably’), demanding evidence and answers from others while all you ever do is promote your speculation. You’ve been at it for years, yet all we ever see are new linear channels popping up and streamers racking up massive debts trying to chase an audience that’s a fraction of the size.
Netflix is presently trumpeting the success of The Umbrella academy, whose first season was viewed in 45 million households - worldwide. The Umbrella Academy is great TV and a big success for Netflix, but even now it’s still niche. Pay-TV, regardless of how it’s delivered, always will be.
|
|
|
01-08-2020, 00:16
|
#7857
|
Architect of Ideas
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,430
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Agreed, but when audience levels get to neglible proportions (won't even get that far!),why would any commercial operation be arsed to provide a service to a small minority of viewers who are probably not raking in any significant interest advertising wise?
You are describing some sort of romantic vision that is never going to come to pass. Think economics. It should be easy for you. One would have thought.
|
I’m not describing a romantic vision of anything. I’m stating facts.
Yes economics is something I understand. You’ve not demonstrated how streaming gets to 100%. Even if it only got to 99% I can find you dozens of channels with that kind of audience.
Streamers won’t be ideological (as you are). Free advertising is free advertising.
|
|
|
01-08-2020, 08:58
|
#7858
|
laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,145
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Worldwide, of course.
---------- Post added at 23:53 ---------- Previous post was at 23:47 ----------
Agreed, but when audience levels get to neglible proportions (won't even get that far!),why would any commercial operation be arsed to provide a service to a small minority of viewers who are probably not raking in any significant interest advertising wise?
You are describing some sort of romantic vision that is never going to come to pass. Think economics. It should be easy for you. One would have thought.[COLOR="Silver"]
---------- Post added at 23:54 ---------- Previous post was at 23:53 ----------
[/Sun-seekers had to be turned away as thousands descended on Bournemouth and Poole to visit the towns' beaches on the UK's hottest day of the year.
By 09:00 BST roads were gridlocked and a mobile app to aid social distancing was showing red in three areas - meaning "avoid".
Police and council officers patrolled the seafronts in both towns.
Brighton and Hove City Council, said crowds were making it "impossible to maintain physical distancing" there.
And in Kent, Thanet District Council said some of its most popular beaches were full.
Yes, Hugh, but some of us seek solutions to problems. The BBC is working on it.
|
OB, really? I didn’t know that...
(Except for the fact, as mentioned before, that one of my best friends is a Lead Technical Architect at the BBC, working specifically on the Telecomms area, who speaks at International conferences on the impact of 5G on broadcasting, and who is a member of a National 5G Working Group advising the UK Government, and my comments are informed by discussions with him - which highly experienced technical resource at the BBC are your comments informed by?).
__________________
There is always light.
If only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
If my post is in bold and this colour, it's a Moderator Request.
Last edited by Hugh; 01-08-2020 at 09:03.
|
|
|
01-08-2020, 11:22
|
#7859
|
Rise above the players
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wokingham
Services: 2 V6 boxes with 360 software, Now, ITVX, Amazon, Netflix, Lionsgate+, Apple+, Disney+, Paramount +,
Posts: 14,616
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
OB, really? I didn’t know that...
(Except for the fact, as mentioned before, that one of my best friends is a Lead Technical Architect at the BBC, working specifically on the Telecomms area, who speaks at International conferences on the impact of 5G on broadcasting, and who is a member of a National 5G Working Group advising the UK Government, and my comments are informed by discussions with him - which highly experienced technical resource at the BBC are your comments informed by?).
|
Well, how do you explain this, then, Hugh?
https://www.radiotimes.com/news/on-d...streaming-lag/
---------- Post added at 11:15 ---------- Previous post was at 11:06 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Like all good armchair experts, you pose questions and insert caveats (‘probably’), demanding evidence and answers from others while all you ever do is promote your speculation. You’ve been at it for years, yet all we ever see are new linear channels popping up and streamers racking up massive debts trying to chase an audience that’s a fraction of the size.
Netflix is presently trumpeting the success of The Umbrella academy, whose first season was viewed in 45 million households - worldwide. The Umbrella Academy is great TV and a big success for Netflix, but even now it’s still niche. Pay-TV, regardless of how it’s delivered, always will be.
|
I seem to recall that Rupert Murdoch had similar problems when he launched satellite TV.
You say 'pay tv' will always be niche, which is a questionable statement, particularly if the BBC licence fee is converted into a subscription. Then there is AVOD, which will attract those who don't want to pay for their TV.
I am not sure why you are so satisfied about a small number of new channels launching in 2020. Once again, some seem to be having difficulty understanding the difference between the present and the future.
---------- Post added at 11:22 ---------- Previous post was at 11:15 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman
I’m not describing a romantic vision of anything. I’m stating facts.
Yes economics is something I understand. You’ve not demonstrated how streaming gets to 100%. Even if it only got to 99% I can find you dozens of channels with that kind of audience.
Streamers won’t be ideological (as you are). Free advertising is free advertising.
|
Advertisers will not be interested in paying good money to advertise their products to a small and probably not very wealthy audience.
As I've said before, audience levels do not have to reach anywhere near as low as 1% before traditional linear TV is ended. If we waited for everyone to convert voluntarily to digital TV, we would still have analogue as a choice.
|
|
|
01-08-2020, 17:00
|
#7860
|
laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,145
|
Re: Netflix/Streaming Services
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Well, how do you explain this, then, Hugh?
https://www.radiotimes.com/news/on-d...streaming-lag/
---------- Post added at 11:15 ---------- Previous post was at 11:06 ----------
I seem to recall that Rupert Murdoch had similar problems when he launched satellite TV.
You say 'pay tv' will always be niche, which is a questionable statement, particularly if the BBC licence fee is converted into a subscription. Then there is AVOD, which will attract those who don't want to pay for their TV.
I am not sure why you are so satisfied about a small number of new channels launching in 2020. Once again, some seem to be having difficulty understanding the difference between the present and the future.
---------- Post added at 11:22 ---------- Previous post was at 11:15 ----------
Advertisers will not be interested in paying good money to advertise their products to a small and probably not very wealthy audience.
As I've said before, audience levels do not have to reach anywhere near as low as 1% before traditional linear TV is ended. If we waited for everyone to convert voluntarily to digital TV, we would still have analogue as a choice.
|
Easily - it wasn’t scalable, and wasn’t cost-effective to implement.
From the BBC at the time
Quote:
The final latency improvement we have made comes from optimising and streamlining the various processes that our media goes through before it emerges as segments available on the Internet. By doing this, we can show what is possible in terms of low latency distribution, though it’s fair to say that some additional delay is likely to return here if we were to take our prototype and scale it up for full production use.
|
__________________
There is always light.
If only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
If my post is in bold and this colour, it's a Moderator Request.
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 20 (0 members and 20 guests)
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 14:11.
|