The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 4

I am a 'Remainer' although I don't want to revisit it but if we did I wouldn't base my decision on the current composition of the EU Parliament. That's as short-sighted and reductive as those who argue for Scottish Independence because the Conservatives are in power at Westminster.

[denphone]

Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest national Westminster voting intention poll.


https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies....-17-june-2024/

Labour leads by 25%.

Tied-lowest Conservative % (worse than Truss).

Highest Reform %.

���� Westminster VI (14/6-17/6):

Labour 43% (+1)
Reform UK 18% (+1)
Conservative 18% (–)
Lib Dem 12% (-1)
Green 5% (–)
SNP 3% (–)
Other 1% (–)

Changes +/- 12/6-13/6

[jfman]

Originally Posted by Damien

I am a 'Remainer' although I don't want to revisit it but if we did I wouldn't base my decision on the current composition of the EU Parliament. That's as short-sighted and reductive as those who argue for Scottish Independence because the Conservatives are in power at Westminster.

Legislation doesn’t originate in the European Parliament, it originates in the Commission.

Westminster has far more power to decimate the lives of people and their communities up and down the UK than the European Parliament ever had.

[1andrew1]

Originally Posted by Damien

I am a 'Remainer' although I don't want to revisit it but if we did I wouldn't base my decision on the current composition of the EU Parliament. That's as short-sighted and reductive as those who argue for Scottish Independence because the Conservatives are in power at Westminster.

To be fair to the Scottish argument, the Conservatives have traditionally been in power in Westminster far more than Labour.

By my calculations, the Conservatives including the Lib Con alliance held power for 63 of the last 100 years and Labour 37 years of the last 100 years.

[Pierre]

Reform are offering and end to Net Zero………. I approve.

In fact, I would say that is the best policy from any of the parties.

They’re also green lighting more North Sea oil & gas, should go down well in Aberdeen.

All they need to do now is promise fracking.

[Mr K]

Originally Posted by Pierre

Reform are offering and end to Net Zero………. I approve.

In fact, I would say that is the best policy from any of the parties.

They’re also green lighting more North Sea oil & gas, should go down well in Aberdeen.

All they need to do now is promise fracking.

They can promise anything they like as they know they'll never have to deliver. Sums Nige up really.

Got my official postal vote approval notification by email this morning. Paper forms go out next week AFAIK, so for the first time in my life I’ll be voting early in an election.

Oh, the irony…



https://vetting.com/en-gb/faq

Also…

Are you an outsourced background screening company?

No, we provide you with the ability to complete your own background screening in house – cutting out the middle man and speeding up your processes.

Scottish voters whose priority is to Get The Nat Out may wish to check the tactical voting guide here:

https://tacticalvotescotland.uk/

[Dude111]

Thank you Chris for these threads mate,I like to vote in them all

[peanut]

Originally Posted by Dude111

Thank you Chris for these threads mate,I like to vote in them all

Eh..

[jonbxx]

It’s a bit, how should we say, ‘watergatey’ but if there was any intelligence on foreign influence on Nigel Farage and Reform, now would be the time it would suddenly leak I would say

(Posted this originally in the Brexit thread, sorry about that!)

[TheDaddy]

Originally Posted by jonbxx

It’s a bit, how should we say, ‘watergatey’ but if there was any intelligence on foreign influence on Nigel Farage and Reform, now would be the time it would suddenly leak I would say

(Posted this originally in the Brexit thread, sorry about that!)

Well worth a leak considering Banks lied about meeting Russians prior to the vote and the we only know of the meetings because of a leak, meetings with the ambassador at the time Alexander Yakovenko who boasted that they'd crushed the British into the ground,

[1andrew1]

Originally Posted by Pierre

Reform are offering and end to Net Zero………. I approve.

In fact, I would say that is the best policy from any of the parties.

They’re also green lighting more North Sea oil & gas, should go down well in Aberdeen.

All they need to do now is promise fracking.

Not in the conventional sense of the word - 4% intend to vote Reform in Aberdeen South.
https://www.thisvotecounts.co.uk/con...aberdeen-south

---------- Post added at 23:13 ---------- Previous post was at 22:57 ----------

Not seen much before on Reform UK's likely wins so this is interesting. Would Farage continue as a GB News presenter if he became an MP?

The Conservative Party is heading for its worst electoral defeat in history and Nigel Farage is set to become an MP for the first time, according to a new poll of almost 20,000 people.

The Ipsos poll estimates Labour could win 453 seats, while the Conservatives would take just 115, giving Sir Keir Starmer's party a 256-seat majority.

The result could be even worse for the Tories, with Ipsos estimating a lower range of just 99 seats.

It would mean senior Tory figures such as Grant Shapps, Penny Mordaunt, Gillian Keegan, Johnny Mercer and Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg losing their seats.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt faces a close battle in his Surrey constituency of Godalming and Ash, while the poll has cabinet ministers James Cleverly and Kemi Badenoch clinging on.

The model also suggested Nigel Farage will win Clacton from the Tories, overturning the incumbent party's huge majority there.

The projection suggests the Liberal Democrats could win 38 seats, the Scottish National Party 15, the Greens three and Reform UK could also take three seats.

https://news.sky.com/story/general-e...b-dem-12593360

Originally Posted by 1andrew1

Not in the conventional sense of the word - 4% intend to vote Reform in Aberdeen South.
https://www.thisvotecounts.co.uk/con...aberdeen-south

That’s a bit unfair - they’re polling higher in Aberdeen North…

https://www.thisvotecounts.co.uk/con...-north?tactic=

6%…