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The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1
View Poll Results: If the election were held today, who would you vote for?
Labour 25 54.35%
Conservative 4 8.70%
Liberal Democrat 3 6.52%
Plaid Cymru OR SNP 1 2.17%
Reform UK 3 6.52%
Green 0 0%
NI - Unionist 1 2.17%
NI - Nationalist/Republican 0 0%
Other vote 2 4.35%
Will not vote 7 15.22%
Voters: 46. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 28-05-2024, 12:51   #181
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inactive Digital View Post
And?
You said

‘ instead of increasing the higher rate.’

How can it be done instead of increasing the higher rate ? When there is already a higher rate after the complete loss of the personal tax allowance ?
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Old 28-05-2024, 13:34   #182
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees View Post
You said

‘ instead of increasing the higher rate.’

How can it be done instead of increasing the higher rate ? When there is already a higher rate after the complete loss of the personal tax allowance ?
There are many different ways they could have raised this revenue. They could have increased the higher rate. They could have increased the additional rate. They could have done any combination thereof. Instead they chose an ideological route which creates a marginal tax rate of 60%.

But, so far, that is irrelevant to this election campaign.
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Old 28-05-2024, 13:54   #183
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inactive Digital View Post
There are many different ways they could have raised this revenue. They could have increased the higher rate. They could have increased the additional rate. They could have done any combination thereof. Instead they chose an ideological route which creates a marginal tax rate of 60%.

But, so far, that is irrelevant to this election campaign.
Not according to Hunt it’s not
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:03   #184
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

No further Police action in Angela Rayner police investigation.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-69063295
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:10   #185
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Not really a surprise. They had already looked into this and decided there was no criminal matter and have come to the same conclusion again. I think there should be questions about the decision to reopen it after being lobbied by a Tory MP. Nobody thought it would go anywhere but it allowed them to get a few headlines of her being investigated.
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:26   #186
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

This is the second time a police inquiry into Labour launched at the behest of the Tories has gone nowhere.

If that was us doing that we would get a caution at least.
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:40   #187
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

To be honest it's better we have this situation.

It would be worse if she did do something but the police didn't want to investigate because it would look bad. It's in the public interest that politicians are more likely to be investigated over such things than we would.

You want to have confidence that it was an independent decision based on this 'new' evidence rather than pressure from a Tory MP.
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:51   #188
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

First Westminster voting intention from the campaign period by Survation.

https://www.survation.com/survations...mpaign-period/

Quote:
LAB 47 (-1)
CON 24 (-3)
LD 11 (+3)
GRN 3 (+1)
RFM 8 (-)
SNP 3 (-)
OTH 4 (-)

F/w 24th - 27th May. Changes vs. 22nd May 2024.
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Old 28-05-2024, 16:55   #189
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone View Post
First Westminster voting intention from the campaign period by Survation.

https://www.survation.com/survations...mpaign-period/

Quote:
LAB 47 (-1)
CON 24 (-3)
LD 11 (+3)
GRN 3 (+1)
RFM 8 (-)
SNP 3 (-)
OTH 4 (-)

F/w 24th - 27th May. Changes vs. 22nd May 2024.
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Old 28-05-2024, 17:06   #190
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

The Tories and Guido are hyping a big poll to come.

But so far we've had three that show no change or movement to Labour.
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Old 28-05-2024, 17:08   #191
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
The Tories and Guido are hyping a big poll to come.

But so far we've had three that show no change or movement to Labour.
Is that this one by Redfield & Wilton Strategies.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies....5-27-may-2024/


Quote:
2024 GENERAL ELECTION MEGA POLL!

12,000 Sample.

Labour leads by 23%.

Westminster Voting Intention (25-27 May):

Labour 46% (+1)
Conservative 23% (–)
Reform UK 13% (+1)
Lib Dem 9% (-1)
Green 5% (–)
SNP 3% (+1)
Other 3% (+2)

Changes +/- 19 May
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Old 28-05-2024, 18:03   #192
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone View Post
Is that this one by Redfield & Wilton Strategies.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies....5-27-may-2024/
https://x.com/redfieldwilton/status/...WUFx9lsEXWlOa1



In 2019, the Conservatives won 60% of the 65+ age group.

Mega-oooooooff!
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Old 28-05-2024, 18:11   #193
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Meanwhile, back in the Land of Total Bolleaux (AKA CCHQ Election campaign)

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Old 28-05-2024, 18:24   #194
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone View Post
Is that this one by Redfield & Wilton Strategies.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies....5-27-may-2024/
That just seems to show Labour and Conservative sticking as they are and Reform UK and the LibDems swopping places.
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Old 28-05-2024, 19:41   #195
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Re: The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 1

Guido is soiling himself with excitement at a JL Partners (who?) poll that shows Labour’s lead tightening to 12 points, as the Tories seemingly claw back age 65+ voters from Reform.

https://order-order.com/2024/05/28/p...nly-12-points/

Given the whopping size of Labour’s lead in many other polls conducted by companies that repeat their polling much more often, I think this is likely to be what they call an outlier …
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