The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024

[papa smurf]

only 5 hours till the PM clocks off

Quite right too. Long hours culture is the bane of the British workplace.

[peanut]

Well that's that then... The exit polls weren't too far out. So now we see how it all goes then in another 10+ years when we've all had enough of Labour we'll want another change and around it goes.

[jfman]

Originally Posted by jfman

I voted for a smaller party with no chance of winning in my constituency. It was that or not vote. I figured I might as well help someone save their deposit since I had a postal vote it was low effort.

I'm sure nobody is interested but this candidate finished stone last, and lost their deposit.

Labour's vote efficiency in this election is mad.

[spiderplant]

Interesting that in week 1 of the all-important CF poll, Conservatives got 4 votes and Reform got 3. In the exit poll, Reform got 9 and Conservatives got none. What changed?

[ianch99]

Originally Posted by Mr K

Don't ever try and talk anyone down from a window ledge anytime will you?

Show me I am wrong

The outgoing Rees-Mogg was asked about the pending leadership contest and has already opened the debate on Farage joining/merging with the right wing of the Tory party.

---------- Post added at 14:28 ---------- Previous post was at 14:24 ----------

Originally Posted by Mr K

And poor Nige didn't get anymore seats than the Greens. Not that he gives a toss about that or Clacton's potholes. He's bigged himself up proper and thats the main thing.

Nige does not mind. 2029 is his target. I was listening to one of the (defeated) Reform candidates and he admitted as such.

This GE has thrown up 3 or 4 times the number of marginals than before, many of which have Reform in second place. Is Farage of 2029 going to be the Le Pen of today?

[Mr K]

Originally Posted by ianch99

Nige does not mind. 2029 is his target. I was listening to one of the (defeated) Reform candidates and he admitted as such.

This GE has thrown up 3 or 4 times the number of marginals than before, many of which have Reform in second place. Is Farage of 2029 going to be the Le Pen of today?

Trump 2024 will now be Nige's target. If his orange buddy wins, they'll both insist he's the UK ambassador, or else no trade.

He'll then quickly forget about Reform, Clacton etc, just has he's done with his several other populist parties. They're all just vehicles for him

Originally Posted by ianch99

Show me I am wrong

The outgoing Rees-Mogg was asked about the pending leadership contest and has already opened the debate on Farage joining/merging with the right wing of the Tory party.

---------- Post added at 14:28 ---------- Previous post was at 14:24 ----------



Nige does not mind. 2029 is his target. I was listening to one of the (defeated) Reform candidates and he admitted as such.

This GE has thrown up 3 or 4 times the number of marginals than before, many of which have Reform in second place. Is Farage of 2029 going to be the Le Pen of today?

Depends - Reform will have to reform its rules and practices to be (or seen to be) democratic in how it’s run and candidate selection; at the moment, it’s Farage’s personal fiefdom, but you can’t run a (British) mainstream political party that way. If more people get a say in how it’s run and what its policies should be, it may not be as effective.

The actual vote percentages are interesting.

Labour 33.7%
Conservative 23.7%
Liberal Democrat 12.2%
Reform UK 14.3%

So in the end Labour only got 10% more, yet way way more seats.
Reform got more votes than the Lib Dems, but only 4 seats compared to LD's 71.

Its not hard to see why a lot of people think our system is not actually very representative.

---------- Post added at 16:49 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------

Oh, and right down the list, the good old "Monster Raving Loony Party" got 5,814 votes.

[TheDaddy]

Originally Posted by Paul

The actual vote percentages are interesting.

Labour 33.7%
Conservative 23.7%
Liberal Democrat 12.2%
Reform UK 14.3%

So in the end Labour only got 10% more, yet way way more seats.
Reform got more votes than the Lib Dems, but only 4 seats compared to LD's 71.

Its not hard to see why a lot of people think our system is not actually very representative.

---------- Post added at 16:49 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------

Oh, and right down the list, the good old "Monster Raving Loony Party" got 5,814 votes.

Labour got over half a million fewer votes under sir beer than they did under corbyn...

[spiderplant]

Originally Posted by Paul

The actual vote percentages are interesting.

Labour 33.7%
Conservative 23.7%
Liberal Democrat 12.2%
Reform UK 14.3%
Green 6.8%
SNP 2.5%
PC 0.7%

So if we did have Proportional Representation, what government would we have?

[jfman]

Originally Posted by spiderplant

So if we did have Proportional Representation, what government would we have?

As it's essentially a guess - Labour, LDs and Green. The first two certainly with a proper coalition arrangement, the third potentially or simply confidence and supply.

Of course if we did have PR we wouldn't necessarily have had the same outcome - no need for tactical voting etc.

[Ms NTL]

So, from now on we will have to stop working at 6pm on Fridays as Starmer does?

This is a rhetorical question.

[daveeb]

Originally Posted by Ms NTL

So, from now on we will have to stop working at 6pm on Fridays as Starmer does?

This is a rhetoric question.

Rhetorical or not I guess it depends on your personal circumstances, who you are, what you do, when you started work etc. I doubt he'll be ducking important meetings (e.g. Cobra meetings), state events (e.g. D Day memorials) etc just because it's Friday 6 pm.