Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
You didn’t notice that Tim Davie was talking about the next 10 years, then. That’s even more ambitious than the prediction I made in 2015.
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I did. However, what you didn’t seem to notice is:
1. You posted the same speech, three times, from ISP Review, then the Guardian, and now Pocket Lint;
2. You weren’t even first to do so - Hugh posted the ISP Review item in another thread last week;
3. Which means that last week (and also again earlier this week to humour you), the weaknesses of those reports and the caveats in Davie’s own speech have already been addressed.
For the ‘n’th time: IP delivery ≠ video on demand. Your prediction in 2015 was that by 2025 British TV would be VOD only. It quite obviously won’t be. According to Davie’s speech the BBC will be unable to deliver an exclusively VOD service by 2035, which is the date you later claimed to have predicted.
IP is a content delivery mechanism, VOD is one of the ways it can be utilised. And from Davie’s own observations, while they might want to move to exclusively IP delivery (which is *not* equivalent to VOD), even as early as 2030, they won’t be able to because there are too many barriers to access, in terms of cost and widespread deployment of sufficiently fast internet to UK homes. Even if they intended to accompany their move to exclusively IP delivery with exclusively on-demand menus a la Netflix, they could not do so, because for an indeterminate time they are going to have to continue to make their content available by at least one traditional method (most likely satellite IMO). If for that reason alone, they will not be abandoning linear broadcast TV in 2030.
But by all means go on pretending you’re not reading this stuff. You’ve been pretending not to be on the forum for weeks now …
