Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
I did. However, what you didn’t seem to notice is:
1. You posted the same speech, three times, from ISP Review, then the Guardian, and now Pocket Lint;
2. You weren’t even first to do so - Hugh posted the ISP Review item in another thread last week;
3. Which means that last week (and also again earlier this week to humour you), the weaknesses of those reports and the caveats in Davie’s own speech have already been addressed.
For the ‘n’th time: IP delivery ≠ video on demand. Your prediction in 2015 was that by 2025 British TV would be VOD only. It quite obviously won’t be. According to Davie’s speech the BBC will be unable to deliver an exclusively VOD service by 2035, which is the date you later claimed to have predicted.
IP is a content delivery mechanism, VOD is one of the ways it can be utilised. And from Davie’s own observations, while they might want to move to exclusively IP delivery (which is *not* equivalent to VOD), even as early as 2030, they won’t be able to because there are too many barriers to access, in terms of cost and widespread deployment of sufficiently fast internet to UK homes. Even if they intended to accompany their move to exclusively IP delivery with exclusively on-demand menus a la Netflix, they could not do so, because for an indeterminate time they are going to have to continue to make their content available by at least one traditional method (most likely satellite IMO). If for that reason alone, they will not be abandoning linear broadcast TV in 2030.
But by all means go on pretending you’re not reading this stuff. You’ve been pretending not to be on the forum for weeks now …  |
The emboldened part of your response just shows that you are being deliberately provocative. I have always talked about 20 years’ time (from 2015) and when the ‘2025’ misunderstanding crept in, I corrected it - that was in 2016. You know that, because I have clarified it many times.The 2025 claim related to broadband rollout, and that was based on government statements made at the time, which were later modified.
I posted the latest item because it clarified that Davie was actually looking at merging the BBC channels into one ‘BBC’ and closing down the terrestrial channels within a decade. That is the most definite statement I believe he has made about this.
Yes, I maintain we will be VOD only by 2035, and if you don’t understand that’s what Davie is talking about when he says ‘one BBC’ instead of BBC1, BBC2, etc, then I really don’t know what you are trying to say here.
I am sticking to my guns on this one. I believe that we will be VOD only in the near future and everything will be online. I am drawing attention to the fact that events do seem to lead to the conclusion that what I thought would happen is likely to come to pass.
You (and certain others on here) may think different. That’s cool, I don’t mind. Strange that you are getting so exercised about the prospect.
PS - What do you think he means by ‘one BBC’?
---------- Post added at 17:15 ---------- Previous post was at 16:50 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh
Here’s tag actual speech, not the sound bites and paraphrasing by others.
https://rts.org.uk/article/leading-u...dcast%20allows.
There is nothing in the speech about closing down OTA broadcasting in 10 years - the nearest thing is when he says
Fewer linear broadcast services, not the end of linear broadcast services. |
Thank you for the full speech. In my post I was relying on the pocket link article which stated:
That means the likes of BBC One, Two, Three and Four will no longer be available on Freeview or other digital TV platforms. In fact, the existing channels could be united under just one brand - The BBC.
I do accept Chris’s point about the technology not keeping pace with what the media wants to do, but actually it is the rollout of broadband that is the issue here, not our technical capability. Clearly, given the universality requirement of the BBC’s services, if the broadband isn’t available to a significant number of households, then the service needs to be delivered in a different way. My assumption has always been that full rollout would be achieved by 2035.
If the government decide against the subscription model after all, then, yes, I guess the urgency of this in the government’s eyes will be lessened and the process may take longer. That has not yet happened, however.
I guess we’ll have to wait and see, won’t we? By the way, it was linear channels I said would go, not linear broadcasts. You can already get linear broadcasts on the live part of the BBC I-Player. In the future, I believe that these will be accessed by category rather than by TV channel as they are now.