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Old 07-10-2021, 11:31   #21
Halcyon
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Re: Nasa to crash spacecraft into asteroid in 'Armageddon' test of defences

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
This is the gambler’s fallacy. The outcome of one coin toss doesn’t affect the outcome of any future toss. Every coin toss still has odds of 50/50. Even if you get 10 heads in a row, the odds on the 11th toss are still 50/50.

Slightly off topic but.... Surely some coins have more weight to one side or the other. eg. the more embossed area of the queens head against whatever is on the flip side.
This could influence the toss.


As to asteroids....We are safe for another 100 years atleast.
I'd be more worried about heading up in a rocket and crashing into space debris.




Quote:
Nasa had deemed Apophis to be one of the most dangerous asteroids to Earth after its discovery in 2004.


Close calls in 2029 and 2036 were predicted and later ruled out. A slight threat still remained for 2068.


But now Nasa has dismissed that threat based on new analysis of the asteroid.


"A 2068 impact is not in the realm of possibility any more, and our calculations don't show any impact risk for at least the next 100 years," Davide Farnocchia, a scientist who studies near-Earth objects for Nasa
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