22-04-2021, 11:28
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#59
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laeva recumbens anguis
Cable Forum Team
Join Date: Jun 2006
Age: 67
Services: Premiere Collection
Posts: 42,135
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Re: British culture
https://www.channel4.com/news/factch...jority-by-2050
Quote:
Assuming patterns of net immigration do not change significantly, the Pew Forum thinks that there will be just over 5.5 million British Muslims, representing 8.2 per cent of the UK population, by 2030.
None of this is an exact science, and some demographers say total fertility rate overestimates the lifetime fertility of immigrants because it doesn’t adjust for the fact that they tend to have children soon after arriving.
The verdict
Birth rates among native-born women are currently low across most of Europe and the developed world in general.
Demographers think a fertility rate of about 2.1 children per woman on average is necessary for the population of a developed country to sustain itself.
Most of the “native” populations of Europe are failing to have enough children, while birth rates are higher among Muslim immigrant populations, so it seems inevitable that the British Muslim population will rise in the coming decades.
But it’s equally clear that the gap in fertility between Muslim and non-Muslim will continue to lessen over time, as it has in recent decades.
Mr Cooper suggests that there are “strong cultural reasons for higher Muslim birth rates”, but this ignores the fact that birth rates have fallen dramatically in many Muslim countries.
FactCheck wouldn’t bet on the British Muslim population ever topping 10 per cent, let alone 50 per cent.
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