Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
15,000 is a big opinion poll. Presumably this has allowed them to do some decent regional modelling rather than assuming a uniform swing. Whatever methodology they’ve used is predicting the SNP will do less badly than some polls have suggested recently.
|
I think there's too much going on to reliably predict what happens in Scotland. The SNP lead in many seats is precarious, but Labour broadly doesn't inspire. You'd forget given the generous coverage Labour's branch office get on BBC Scotland that in the Scottish Parliament Douglas Ross leads the official opposition.
The swing from Conservative to Labour could hand the SNP seats in one hand and take them away with the other.
Separately what's interesting in the polls see the Lib Dems going nowhere.