Re: Coronavirus
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Re: Coronavirus
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Re: Coronavirus
Great Tweet thread from Ed Conway "Numbers guy" of Sky News. Includes the following:
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Re: Coronavirus
Ed's going down the herd immunity route. Been on the cards for a while sad to see him join those howling at the moon.
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The natural herd immunity tribe is declining, I believe. |
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I could be wrong, but his 'data driven' analysis has concerned me about what way he falls for a while now.
As the resident economist I should have opined on his comment about £150bn being injected into the economy. It isn't. All this money is trying to cling onto is the status quo. There's no need for the markets to react to the status quo. This money costs virtually zero - interest rates are at an all time low. Nobody expects the UK to ever repay it's debts - whether it's £2trn or £4trn is really neither here nor there when interest rates are so low. |
Re: Coronavirus
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The objctive of lockdowns is to prevent the NHS being overwhelmed and in this respect they work. They're not an alternative to herd immunity derived from a proportion of the population being successfully vaccinated. |
Re: Coronavirus
Here is an interesting comment on an interesting article about the effects on the poor of CV19 lockdowns.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucele...h=7ee3b380158c In summary David Nabarro - special envoy WHO commented on the negative affects of lockdowns on the world poor that could lead to a "doubling of world poverty by next year". This was then used to say the WHO says that lockdowns are bad BUT what was really said was the lockdowns should not be the "primary mean" of controlling spread. It does highlight that nations that have been more successful such as New Zealand (hard lockdown, early - but doesn't also mention low population and geographic isolation that made that easier/shorter) and Tiawan/South Korea with bigger testing and isolation rules (plus more general mask wearing). It's a good read what I've seen of it and shows how news/comments (both ways) can be taken out of context to support whatever view you want. |
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Wales came out of their circuit breaker lockdown, in much worse shape than what they went in. Lockdowns don’t work, just wreck the economy and eat in to people’s liberties. Meanwhile suicides are up tenfold.
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Pfizer’s vaccine looks ready to go, with immunity delivered to 90% of recipients.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54873105 2 jabs are required, 3 weeks apart, with immunity established 1 week after the 2nd dose. 43,000 test subjects, no safety concerns raised. 50 million doses by the end of the year, around 1.3bn doses to be produced by the end of 2021. U.K. gov already has a deal to buy 30 million doses of this particular vaccine. |
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Re: Coronavirus
Donald Trump has tweeted to welcome the GREAT NEWS of the imminent vaccine.
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