Re: Coronavirus
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Statistical analysis suggest up 19M may have had it. (That was back in May, the accuracy of the method used has been questioned but still, the number will be a large number) https://fullfact.org/health/19m-coronavirus-manchester/ So it is quite reasonable to suggest around 20M, have had it. So we would be starting from 30% of the population having immunity through infection ( not even taking into account those already immune) 70% would be 46M, so 26M at a 1M = 26 weeks, all done by June with a fair wind behind us. |
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Looking at the ONS numbers from late last month, they estimate Quote:
Those figures seem low to me - is that just that week? Re-reading it, yes, it is. Statista puts the cumulative total at 2.3 million. https://www.statista.com/statistics/...ses-in-the-uk/ |
Re: Coronavirus
Is the infection survey not measuring who had it within the time period as opposed to since the start of the outbreak? As a crude analysis assuming you’d have it/test positive for a two week window it’s about a million people a month.
Also Statista are using confirmed positives (so less likely to count asymptomatics who wouldn’t be tested) - ONS are estimating prevalence in the population at a given time based upon their random sampling. |
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Sage advice regarding schools, minutes published 31/12/20
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A HEADTEACHERS' union has launched legal action against the government demanding all schools shut after London primaries closed.
Lawyers for the National Association of Headteachers (NAHT) and the Association of School and College Leaders are set to demand the government shows data proving schools are safe to reopen as Covid cases surge. https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/136281...-legal-action/ |
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