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For those panicing about Omicron this may help.
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I think people will certainly be careful, and take personal responsibility by keeping their money in their pockets this December until there is some clarity. |
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Also, I doubt very much, with your solipsistic outlook, you would adjust for anything or anyone unless it benefited you… ---------- Post added at 18:43 ---------- Previous post was at 18:38 ---------- Quote:
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Had my booster at the weekend, Moderna , bit poorly for a day then OK. Can't be as good as the AZN jab because that made me ill for a week! |
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That’s for the plebs. |
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How does your economy look without their purchasing power within it? Quote:
The irony is that it is you, Old Boy, wanting to restrict freedoms of others for the sake of ideology. Force people to work regardless of whether it’s safe. Force people to commute. Force people into bars and cafes to keep them viable. All fundamentally because, I suspect in your head, you plan to stay in for a few months until it blew over. So the sooner others got on with it the better. |
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Lockdowns will not eliminate the virus - although you don’t seem to understand this point. ---------- Post added at 20:46 ---------- Previous post was at 20:42 ---------- Quote:
And what do you mean by ‘ I suspect in your head, you plan to stay in for a few months until it blew over’? Where does that come from? Nobody stops me from going out, sunshine. |
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I note you specifically say "nobody" stops me from going out - not "nothing" stops me from going out. These have two distinct meanings. I didn't at any stage deny that you would be making an autonomous choice in taking the proposed action. Sunshine. |
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Jffers, get a beer.....:D
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Bless you. |
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Even if the double jabbed that get infected, aren't able to pass it on, they must have caught it from someone who DID pass it on. The number of double-jabbed and infected, indicates how many infectious people are still out there.
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I notice SAGE are at it agin trying to instil fear. Quote:
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As we are two years in on our fourth major variant (other areas of the world have saw others) I'm not convinced pretending it's not out there is a viable solution. If vaccines are to become annual affairs, as many expect, monitoring is essential to find out how to tweak each vaccine. This is what living with the virus looks like. |
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Basically, "dont panic". There is lots of hype about Omicron, but little to back it up atm. Its likely to be a lot less of an issue than you think and could even just fizzle out, like beta did. Oh, and covid cases (in general) are going up in most of Europe, but not so much in the UK. Probably because we "unlocked" in the summer, they didnt, plus the added effect of boosters. |
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As long as the PM keeps his nerve when so many lefties are panicking, we’ll be just fine resisting the panic measures these people are advocating. ---------- Post added at 01:31 ---------- Previous post was at 01:21 ---------- Quote:
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What you call ‘hype’ is grounded scientific analysis. While it may be that in practice vaccine efficacy holds up better than predicted, or the increased transmissibility seen to date is actually a fluke of a small number of superspreader events. That doesn’t mean caution shouldn’t be considered. Individuals will take it upon themselves to exercise caution regardless until the data is clear. Country comparisons suddenly valid because (relatively) we have looked in line with everyone else for a few weeks is a strange one, but it’s a long winter. ---------- Post added at 08:42 ---------- Previous post was at 08:39 ---------- Quote:
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NHS allows GPs to postpone health checks for over-75s to focus on booster jabs
https://news.sky.com/story/covid-nhs...-jabs-12486013 |
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https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....11.21266068v2
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I’d always rather have an injection from a nurse than a GP, same if I had to give a blood sample. They do it much more often and are almost always better at it.
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Or, we could not have an estimated shortage of forty odd thousand doctors ? Not to mention approximately the same again in nurses |
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At least a decent measure. |
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Don't some GPs' practices need nurses with the doctors though in appointments? If the nurses are vaccinating that reduces what they can do there. Quote:
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I'm pretty sure none of them were doctors, so probably nurses, I never asked. |
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Your preference to deny the threat of variants is irrelevant to reality and scientific consensus, but that’s not novel. We’ve got a track record of ignoring the inevitability of restrictions and reacting too late. So to claim that those advocating the precautionary principle are somehow controlling policy making is palpable nonsense. We can see the reality on the ground in Gauteng - infections rising exponentially and hospitalisation following. We need a better rationale for it not happening here than British exceptionalism or luck. Then again as your opposition to restrictions is neither grounded in public health - or the economy (still waiting for your proposals to support hospitality as people act with caution) - it’s unsurprising you fail to consider reality in reaching the same conclusion you have done for almost two years now. Hence your increasing absurd claims that scientists and communists are conspiring to control people but fail to answer the fundamental questions of any conspiracy theory. Why? To what end? Who benefits? |
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Vaccines, my dear chap, vaccines. Statistically, they make all the difference, you know.
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Estimates put the previous infection rate in Gauteng at rates as high as 80%. Are you finally renouncing “natural immunity” and the Great Barrington Declaration? Quite the significant, if unsurprising, climbdown if so. |
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Of course we are boosting everyone, that’s how we reduce pressure on the NHS, although I must say I don’t agree with vaccinating children as there is no demonstrable benefit to them from doing so. Once again, you are putting emphasis on infection rates rather than hospitalisations. The combination of vaccinations and infections will help us to get to the herd immunity that we have talked about so many times. |
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You’ll get there eventually. If Covid doesn’t get you first. |
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:zzz: Nothing new going on in this thread apart from the usual so called point scoring
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Currently, infections remain high and hospitalisations remain low and falling. That’s due to the vaccination programme. |
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Managed to get my booster at a walk-in clinic, fed up of waiting the NHS website to open it up a week after the Government said everyone should get it.
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https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...hts/antibodies |
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If 74% of the UK population are adult and 90%+ vaccinated, then the vaccination rate for the UK population is over 70% not over 90% as you claimed. |
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Then it's a very high %. we should rejoice, no need for lockdowns or other measures with %'s that high. |
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Stay at home if you have a cold this Christmas, says professor
People with cold-like symptoms should work from home and avoid Christmas parties in a bid to stem the spread of coronavirus, according to Tim Spector, from the COVID Zoe app. The professor of genetic epidemiology at King's College London told Times Radio the UK should be "much more open-minded about who we are testing" and "get more people to isolate at least for a few days with cold-like symptoms". "At the moment, we're estimating that somewhere between one and three and one in four colds are actually due to COVID," he said.:omg: "And so that's quite a high rate of people that are currently not even bothered to get a lateral flow test, or getting a PCR test, going to parties and spreading it around. "So if that transfers to Omicron then we're going to be compiling that problem much faster than we would need to." https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...dates-12469075 |
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. . and as the Omicron symptoms - up to now - are believed to be quite mild, that's what's going to happen. Having said that, how many of us ever did take a test for a tickly cough and sore throat? |
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Once again your opposition to any restrictions is ideological and not grounded in any evidence whatsoever. |
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However, all the news stories I can find on Omicron all trace back to this one paper: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...068v2.full.pdf Where a study of 2.8m people previously infected found that 35,670 had been reinfected. A whopping 1.27% There is no real data on whether Omicron can evade current vaccines, or the severity of illness Quote:
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So pray, tell Pierre at what threshold for hospitalisations and deaths would you bring in restrictions? Because ultimately if you have no threshold participating in an evidence based discussion with you is pointless. |
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I am going to start handing out topic breaks to people who cannot debate amicably, jfman, wind your neck in, you will be first to get a topic ban if your petty and petulant arguing continues.
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Happy News from me........
On 12th of November both my parents tested positive for Covid my Mum recovered after a few weeks but my Father's Oxygen levels were low so an Ambulance was called, after 1hr lying in the Ambulance queue outside A&E he was eventually off-loaded, but then spent a further 3hrs waiting to get a bed. As if catching Covid wasn't enough for a 79 year old with very little immune system he was also diagnosed with Pneumonia and Sepsis! He was put on Oxygen and Antibiotic, it got to the point where he was struggling to breath and I generally thought I wouldn't see him again! But with the odds stacked against him he has recovered enough for him to be taken off Oxygen, he's still weak and needs help walking as his lungs need to recover from the pneumonia but he has now been sent home and I have just had a 17min video chat with him and from what I see of his face and the way he was talking so confidently looks so happy. He had been double vaccinated and boostered but was told he would have been in ICU if he hadn't of been or worse. Big smile again from me. |
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Very happy for you SnoopZ. Hopefully now he's home he will be able to make a good recovery. xx
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Glad he is recovering buddy
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Thank you. :)
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If Javid’s right and there’s hundreds of folk out there with with it not knowing it, household contacts not self isolating, etc. get your money on a Christmas lockdown. And lockdown lockdown not you can go to the pub with 4 mates from 3 households wearing a mask restrictions.
When’s the school holidays in England that’s a good starting point a free couple of weeks. |
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Not going to happen Unless the NHS is put under a sustained significant risk of collapse and there’s a major uptick in deaths then the economy comes first. |
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The fact that the vaccinated (which is just about everybody nowadays) can catch and transmit, means that will always be the case. It will circulate around the population probably until the end of time. You should work for Sky or the BBC. Deaths and Hospitalisations have been in steady decline since the end of October. There would have to be a significant upturn in the next two weeks for it to be even considered. |
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I think the vaxs and booster will make the difference from last year - I don’t think anything will change (drastically) before Christmas, because if there is any rise in hospitalisations/deaths due to Omicron, it will take a couple of weeks to get to a noticeable rise (if it happens).
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The breaking point won’t be cases it will be the number of hospitalisations/deaths that triggers. We’re on for an ‘interesting’ few weeks whilst the formal data comes in, anything at the moment is pretty much anecdotal. Right now imho we should have wfh where possible introduced asap |
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Now, chances are this was around much longer. It may well be that a fair amount have had colds or something and just dismissed it as such when actually that was covid. Dr Fauci has I believe joined the "it's a milder illness than the other variants" camp today, but that surely isn't known yet, given that it takes a week or two to see the effect on hospitalisations. I really don't think it will be this month we will know on that count in any real detail, by which point vaccinating adults with 3rd doses should be much more under way, schools will have been off, I think a lot will put their own breaks on Christmas mixing, a lot will choose to work from home, which will reduce the numbers of contacts people have, and it's little surprising that those are two of the places where transmission of any virus is high. Let's also not forget as JVT and others have recently said any vaccine escape is going to be partial not complete, is still likely to protect against severe disease, and is likely to be increased the more vaccines you have. There is no suggestion that there will be total escape from Omicron and the vaccines were never designed to stop people getting covid. And let's be fair a lot of what was said here (more transmissible, more people getting it, vaccine escape) was said about Delta too. And there were various estimates initially which did fluctuate as to how bad that was, and it turned out the vaccines largely still worked. If hospital admissions do stay down, then it's likely this will just blow over, and that's where the Government have always really thought with restrictions. Cases can be misleading, even the PCR test inventor said that it doesn't detect whether someone is infectious, it just shows that the sample had the same sample they are looking for from the virus. And even with the way we measure hospital admissions it doesn't necessarily include just people who have presented with a severe covid infection, it could be someone who broke their arm playing football and registered a +ve covid test on arrival without any covid related issues, or not serious ones. From what I saw the other day that seems to be the issue in Gauteng too. So it's important not to draw too many conclusions at this stage, and not to assume that it will either be OK or the end of the world or probably any stance in between. You can be sure that the scientists who matter are looking at it. ---------- Post added at 18:44 ---------- Previous post was at 18:43 ---------- Quote:
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The school holidays has the difference of mitigating the economic impact and providing a natural point for a circuit breaker. Worst case scenario they overegg it by accident, ease pressure on the NHS and roll out a few million boosters. |
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Why do you think the rush to boost and extend eligibility? The JCVI didn’t need 3 months to make a decision on that one. These aren’t chance actions - they are conscious choices based on the analysis of the emerging data available. The data already supported waning efficacy vs Delta. Omicron has mutations linked to vaccine escape in both Beta and (I think) Gamma. Vaccine manufacturers themselves acknowledge this the question is just how much. Bear in mind Delta knocked a chunk off of the vaccine efficacy vs Delta. What would be inexplicable is to assume that Omicron wouldn’t even if there was no scientific data that it does. There’s no reason to sit back, do nothing and hope for the best. The question marks are what to do, and when. If you genuinely believe there’s nothing in this, and this time believe that the Government will push through regardless despite scientific advice and do nothing, then I’m happy to leave it there rather than go around in circles because we won’t agree. |
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We are reaching a point where people are sick and tired of restrictions and are actively not complying this has been going on for so long fatigue is settling in restrictions are not a realistic option for much longer unless increased social unrest is the goal. As we've learnt to live with flu so we will have to live with covid which isn't the mass killer some would have us believe. Dealing with the other aspects of covid won't be so easy.
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I had my Moderna booster earlier.
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You can't really have a variant for something that's never been isolated , but you can have a test PCR at 45 cycles will turn pure water into some false positives
https://odysee.com/@katie.su:7/kateinterviewsstefan3:a https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2008-3.pdf This is the original paper on the discovery of the new 'virus ' it simply describes aligning short sequences of RNA to look like a longer one Data processing and identification of the viral agent Sequencing reads were first adaptor and quality trimmed using the Trimmomatic program32. The remaining 56,565,928 reads were assembled de novo using both Megahit (v.1.1.3)9 and Trinity (v.2.5.1)33 with default parameter settings. Megahit generated a total of 384,096 assembled contigs (size range of 200–30,474 nt), whereas Trinity generated 1,329,960 contigs with a size range of 201–11,760 nt. Trinity results debunk the whole thing Spike protein was invented not seen Analysis of the RBD domain of the spike protein of WHCV An amino acid sequence alignment of RBD sequences from WHCV, SARS-CoVs and bat SARS-like CoVs was performed using MUSCLE41. The predicted protein structures of the RBD of the spike protein were estimated based on target–template alignment using ProMod3 the longest (30,474 nucleotides (nt)) had a high abundance and was closely related to a bat SARS-like coronavirus (CoV) isolate—bat SL-CoVZC45 (GenBank accession number MG772933)—that had previously been sampled in China, with a nucleotide identity of 89.1% The bat coronavirus was also insilico ( invented on a computer from short sequences ) and was 89% similar to the reconstructed short sequences found in lung fluid , this is about as similar from a human to a cat . The main thing missing from all of these papers are control experiments , none of them are scientific. |
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put a tin foil hat on, it will all make sense
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At a guess - Covid was invented in a China lab, put into bats that have propensity for SARS-like coronavirus and the bats released into the wild. They were caught and put into the Wuhan wet market .....
Or summat! |
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What it really said
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Deaths have been in decline since the start of November, no sign of that altering [yet]. Hospitalisations fell through most of November, with a very slight rise on the last two days. Deaths and Hospitalisations are a fraction of what they were last January, and also much lower than 12 months ago (and not rising alarmingly as they were then). Case counts are about the same as 12 months ago and lower than their Jan 2021 peak. Since mid July they have loosely hovered around the same level, higher some weeks, lower others. Cases counts alone are not really a major problem (just a weapon for the fear mongers) the majority just shake it off. The concern would be if serious infections and deaths started to shoot up, there is no indication of that atm. |
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Tin foil hats not needed , but religion is if you believe in something based on faith . Just read the publication , if you don't understand something you can always ask. |
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Pretty much the opposite , they took some lung fluid , aligned it to a predetermined template bat coronavirus using software called megahit . If you do this with non infected people you will get the same result . The article debunks itself because with a stricter assembler they didn't find the longer sequences because it didn't exist. Its in the paper They can claim high abundance in humans to a pig or a banana . People actually believe they found a spiked protein structure in humans and then sequenced its rna and this is what's found in 'infected people' Even these claims are not made in the papers . PCR tests for a fragment of this nucleic acid sequence , not a virus . They also don't check the results of what was amplified in PCR , most people know after 25 cycles it starts creating all sorts of sequences that were not present in the original sample , go to court with forensics and it would be thrown out at more than 12 cycles . ---------- Post added at 23:48 ---------- Previous post was at 23:41 ---------- Quote:
Its claims 89% similarity , we are 98% similar to a pig , this ain't similar at all . |
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Even then by specimen date 29 Nov-1 Dec had more cases than any date since mid-July. If there’s something underlying driving that rise it won’t take many 10% weekly rises to push hospitalisations into a bad place and deaths follow. |
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Or thereabouts. |
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No significant hits If these guys are pulling genome sequences from lung fluid, it aint human genomic RNA or mRNA. RT-PCR testing is cycle dependent, that's why quantitative RT-PCR is used so you can see how many cycles are needed to get a signal. It's also why multiple targets are used to compensate for any issues with incorrect results. It's also why negative controls are used for every test plate. RT-PCR isn't perfect but if you have the right controls in place, it is pretty robust |
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You’re only saying that because you’re trying to "control*" us… ;)
*because you can |
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Do the same for RaTG13 ;)
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Bloody hell, can all you scientific lot slow down for those of us that are thick please ;)
Is SARS-COV-2 just a different name for Covid 19? I'm getting lost and a little uninterested in all these fancy acronyms etc :D Is there a 'clever' name for Flu and pneumonia? |
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Apparently the one for a cold is A715H00.....
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Flu is influenza, which is the name of both the disease and a family of viruses that can cause it. Pneumonia is an inflammation of the alveoli within the lungs, and can be caused by any number of things getting in them that shouldn’t be there. |
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Interesting Twitter chat between Andrew Neil and Julia Hartley-Brewer. He's coming across in a statesmanlike manner.
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